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Tipsheet

Here's What to Expect in the Texas Runoffs and Races in Georgia, Alabama, and Arkansas

AP Photo/Brynn Anderson

It's another primary election day in several states across the country as party loyalists turn out to choose who will represent their values in November's midterms — even as results from a handful of last Tuesday's primaries remain uncalled or too close to call, as is the case in the muddied Pennsylvania GOP Senate primary.

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Down in Georgia, incumbent Governor Brian Kemp — endorsed by former Vice President Mike Pence — squares off against former Senator David Perdue — endorsed by former President Donald Trump — in a key test of the power held by the previous administration's top two figures. Monday night saw Vice President Pence in Georgia for a final Kemp rally while reporting last week claimed President Trump has lost faith in Perdue's campaign — even as Trump re-shared his December 2021 endorsement of Perdue on Truth Social Monday afternoon and insisted again that "Kemp can't win in General E!"

Meanwhile, we'll be watching sore loser Stacey Abrams — who is running unopposed in the Peach State's Democrat gubernatorial primary — to see if she again smears the state she wishes to lead as the "worst state in the country" in which to live.

Also in Georgia, we'll be keeping an eye on the crowded GOP Senate primary in which Trump-endorsed former NFL player Herschel Walker is expected to win his primary against Georgia Agriculture Commissioner Gary Black, former state Representative Josh Clark, and a hat-trick of American heroes: former Navy Seal Latham Saddler, U.S. Air Force veteran Kelvin King, and former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general Jonathan McColumn. Walker has largely ignored his fellow Republican primary candidates and instead made his campaign a forward-looking case against incumbent Democrat U.S. Senator Raphael Warnock who will defend his seat against the GOP nominee in November's general election.

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In Texas, eyes are on several runoffs for state and federal offices after the Lone Star State's March primary resulted in the need for a handful of final contests to determine who will carry their parties' endorsement in November. Current Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton — endorsed by President Trump — is facing a challenge from Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush, who trails the incumbent by fewer than ten points in recent polls.

We're also watching the Democrat runoff in Texas' 28th Congressional District where Rep. Henry Cuellar — the lone pro-life Democrat in the House of Representatives — is facing a progressive challenger from his far left in Jessica Cisneros. That race, following the unprecedented leak of a draft Supreme Court decision indicating Roe v. Wade's termination is imminent, has become something of a referendum on the Dems' views on abortion.

In the adjacent state of Arkansas, former White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders is seen as the shoo-in for the GOP contest for governor to replace term-limited incumbent Republican Asa Hutchinson. After jumping into the race and landing an endorsement from her former boss, President Trump, Sanders cleared the field and is set to have an easy path to victory in November's general election.

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The GOP primary for U.S. Senate in deep red Arkansas, on the other hand, is a messier situation. Incumbent Senator John Boozman is facing a challenge from former NFL player Jake Bequette and conservative commentator Jan Morgan, both of whom are attacking the incumbent for not joining efforts to invalidate 2020 election results. Trump, however, endorsed Boozman in his reelection bid. 

Over in Alabama, there are a handful of contentious GOP primaries playing out Tuesday evening, including the contest to replace retiring GOP Senator Richard Shelby. In that race, Rep. Mo Brooks initially earned President Trump's endorsement, before losing it. Unlike the Pennsylvania Senate primary, President Trump hasn't picked a second-choice candidate to back. That leaves Senator Shelby's former Chief of Staff Katie Britt to fight it out against Brooks and Army veteran Mike Durant who, as a helicopter pilot, was captured in the 1993 "Black Hawk Down" crash in Somalia. 

As a bonus, there's also a special primary taking place in Minnesota on Tuesday to choose contenders for the race to replace the late GOP Rep. Jim Hagedorn, who represented the North Star State's 1st Congressional District until he lost his battle with cancer earlier in 2022. His widow, Jennifer Carnahan, is running in the primary field despite swirling controversies that saw her step down from her role as the chair of the state Republican Party. State Rep. Jeremy Munson is also competing to succeed Hagedorn, as is Brad Finstad, the former state director for USDA rural development in Minnesota. 

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As always, live results from tonight's primaries will be posted as polls close on Townhall and exclusive analysis from Guy, Katie, Kurt, and the rest of the team will be available throughout the week for our Townhall VIP members.

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