Mark Halperin has been bearish on a Kamala Harris win for days. The former MSNBC analyst has been citing private polling showing that the vice president is at risk of losing tomorrow's crucial swing state contest. Based on his conversations with consultants and pollsters, all is not well in Kamala land.
He noted that if Kamala doesn’t win North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia, she must run the table in the Rust Belt. The problem is that Pennsylvania and Wisconsin don’t look good for Harris. We’ll see about Michigan, but Trump is polling well with Arab American voters, and reports that this voter group isn’t enthused with Harris could lend itself to an interesting night.
“This is based on three sources, two Republicans, one Democrat, all of whom know the state quite well, and all of whom told me today the same version of they would be somewhere between surprised and shocked if Kamala Harris won Wisconsin,” he said:
NEW: Mark Halperin says his sources in both parties say Kamala Harris is not doing well in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) November 2, 2024
Halperin says one Democrat source and two Republican sources say they would be “somewhere between surprised and shocked” if Harris won Wisconsin.
“It… pic.twitter.com/uAyqwKDXNY
If Trump wins Wisconsin, things in Michigan and Pennsylvania could get interesting. We'll know soon enough.
“I'll pass it on because it's a tea leaf or two,” says @MarkHalperin. “More independent analysts who I talked to, people who are very experienced in politics but aren't partisans or aren't employed by either side, more of them today looked at the data and said they thought the… pic.twitter.com/0y4XN5gIWY
— 2WAY (@2waytvapp) November 1, 2024
The poll talk ends within hours, folks. For now, get to the polls.
