Several polls in recent weeks have shown former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris neck-and-neck in the 2024 race to the White House.
According to The New York Times, yesterday, Harris showed “new strength” in North Carolina and Georgia as Trump erased her lead in Pennsylvania and maintained his advantage in Arizona.
Late last week, one prominent pollster offered his insight as to who he thinks will win the election.
This week, Rasmussen’s head pollster, Mark Mitchell, suggested that former President Donald Trump would secure a landslide victory.
Mitchell made the remarks in an interview with Breitbart.
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“What you’re hearing out there is that the polls are close, and I think that’s wrong,” he told Breitbart News in the interview on Friday, adding, “I think the polls on average show a strong Trump win, and my polls taken independently show that as well.”
This, Mitchell said, is due to a “major political realignment.”
“I think the pollsters are having a hard time keeping up with that, us included,” he continued. “Party [affiliation] means a lot less than whether you support Trump or Harris.”
After President Joe Biden announced that he would not run for reelection, he endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris. This, however, will not help her case, Mitchell attested.
“People don’t care who Kamala Harris is,” he said.
“They care that she’s part of the Biden administration, and the Biden administration has been deeply unpopular,” he added.
Trump has “already been through all of the convictions and cases and surprises,” Mitchell said.
“The truth is, the race hasn’t changed,” he said, describing the dynamic as “locked in at a Trump plus two national popular vote.”
“He’s [Trump] doing way better than he ever has in previous cycles,” Mitchell explained, pointing out that if Trump outperforms his previous national vote margins and the battlegrounds track similarly, “that means Trump sweeps the swing states… a big win.”
Mitchell compared this race to 1980, where former President Ronald Reagan won in a landslide against former President Jimmy Carter.
“A lot of people have been talking about 1980,” he explained. “If you stripped [John] Anderson out of that race and gave most of his votes to Carter, then that could be what we’re looking at,” he observed.
