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Tipsheet

This Issue Has Become Americans' Top Concern for the First Time Since 2019

AP Photo/Gregory Bull

Americans’ top concern heading into the 2024 election is now immigration, the first time the issue has been the most important problem since 2019, a new Gallup survey finds.

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Up eight points from last month, 28 percent now identify the issue as the most important problem facing the United States, surpassing the “government” (20 percent), the “economy in general” (12 percent), and “inflation,” (11 percent). As the Gallup analysis notes, immigration is the only issue that has shown a significant difference from January’s numbers.

The latest results are based on a Feb. 1-20 Gallup survey. Immigration has ranked ahead of all other issues as the most important problem before, having last done so five years ago when there was a surge of attempted border crossings by Central American migrants. Immigration also ranked as the No. 1 problem in July and November 2018 and July 2014.

Gallup started compiling mentions of immigration in 1981. The 28% currently naming immigration as the most important problem essentially ties the 27% reading from July 2019 as the highest in Gallup’s trend.

The latest survey was conducted at a time when a bipartisan group of congressional senators reached an agreement on an immigration reform proposal. The bill ultimately failed to pass a Senate vote, but it faced an uncertain fate in the Republican-led House of Representatives even if it had passed. The House passed a tougher immigration bill in 2023 that the Democratic-led Senate has not taken up and President Joe Biden promised to veto.

The recent bipartisan negotiations took place in response to a record number of border crossings at the southern border in recent months, peaking at over 300,000 in December. An influx of migrants in U.S. cities has also stressed social services there.

Republicans typically are the subgroup most likely to name immigration as the most important problem, and they are largely responsible for the increase in mentions this month. Currently, 57% of Republicans, up from 37% in January, say immigration is the top problem. Independents show a modest uptick, from 16% in January to 22% now, while there has been no meaningful change among Democrats (9% in January and 10% in February).

Residents of the East (36%) and South (31%) are more likely to say immigration is the biggest U.S. problem than are those living in the Midwest (25%) and West (22%). Southern residents have typically been most likely to regard immigration as the top issue. (Gallup)

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A related question shows a record 55 percent of U.S. adults believe that mass illegal immigration is a critical threat to the vital interests of the United States, which is 8 points higher than in 2023. 


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