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Oof: The Polling Is Not Getting Better for Democrats

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite, File

The good news for Democrats is that President Donald Trump's popularity has fallen since his post-election honeymoon, and their core voters are 'high propensity' types whose reliable participation gives the party a leg up in lower-turnout elections.  The latter factor threatens to remain a systemic advantage for Democrats for years to come, especially if Republicans continue to lean on less committed voters for support.  

The bad news for Democrats is that Trump's popularity has been on the rise again lately, while the opposition party fights amongst itself and seeks to nullify the results of yet another one of their internal elections.  More bad news?  Their party remains strikingly unpopular with the broader electorate, including and especially when compared with Trump and the Republicans.  Even in some places that have long been considered Blue strongholds.

The latest finding from a Harvard/Harris national survey:


Part of this phenomenon is the Democratic base being angry at their leadership for not "fighting hard enough," or whatever, which is leading certain panicky clowns to do things like this:


This also seems like idiotic malpractice:


Meanwhile, in Florida, one of the state's longtime Democratic strongholds, which started to turn right in recent years, has officially made the registration flip:


In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Miami-Dade County by 30 percentage points.  Four years later, Joe Biden narrowly won there, by seven points.  Ron DeSantis broke through two years later, taking Miami-Dade by double digits, among his wild re-election statewide romp.  And last year, Trump replicated that margin, representing a swing of more than 40 percentage points in less than a decade.  The voter registration data is a lagging indicator.  I'll leave you with this.  Are they really, truly running this exact same play again?


He called the legitimate questions surrounding the timing of Biden's cancer diagnosis announcement Republican "conspiracy theories."  Zero self-awareness.  None. I had some thoughts on this subject:

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