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Tipsheet

Here's Why You Should Be Paying Close Attention to Wisconsin Tomorrow

AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps

We've been banging this drum for weeks now, and the big day is finally about to arrive.  Wisconsin is set to elect its next Supreme Court justice today, and the results will be very impactful.  If the conservative wins the race, the court's balance will flip back to a 4-3 constitutionalist majority.  If the 'progressive' wins, the court's existing left-leaning majority will be solidified with four hardcore leftists, as the retiring justice is considered more moderate and restrained than the others. Democrats are openly talking about a wish list of redrawing Congressional districts to flip GOP seats, to undoing successful budget reforms, to axing voter ID requirements.  The leftist, Susan Crawford, has demonstrated a propensity for being woke and soft on crime.  She's handed down scandalously lenient sentences even for sexual predators who target children.  

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Again, there's a lot on the line.  Despite the Left building a narrative about Elon Musk trying to 'buy' the election, the Left has outspent the Right by millions in this race, as is so often the case in recent years.  Their big money and dark money interests are very active, resulting in tens of millions of dollars being spent:


Here's one of the ads being run in the Badger State, basically begging Trump voters to show up:


The top concern for conservatives in this contest is turnout.  As we have seen repeatedly during the Trump era, including in some really bad showings lately, the Democrats are now the high-propensity voting party, allowing them to dominate in lower-turnout elections.  For this reason, Crawford is considered by many to be the favorite heading into tomorrow.  Democrats also vote early in droves, building up leads in advance of Election Day that are often challenging to overcome.  Conservatives are slowly improving on this front, but it's still a disadvantage.  A powerful turnout tomorrow will be essential for conservatives to have a real shot at winning.  Scott Presler, an indefatigable get-out-the-vote activist on the Right, offered this assessment of where things stand over the weekend:

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Western Wisconsin — Congressman Derrick Van Orden’s district — is not turning out in the numbers we need. Democrat Susan Crawford has already stated she will redraw congressional maps if she’s elected. So, if Western Wisconsin does NOT turn out on April 1st for Brad Schimel, its voters will lose their current Republican representation. If Western Wisconsin does NOT turn out, you will face the consequences of being represented by an incoming democrat. We need SKY HIGH voter turnout in Eau Claire Grant La Crosse Portage Wood. HOW YOU CAN HELP: Beginning tomorrow morning (Sat., March 29th), you may text Western Wisconsin voters in these 5 counties using the @EarlyVoteAction app. The EVA app is free & available for both iPhone & Android. We Are Setting An Ambitious GoalEVA hopes to utilize our volunteer network across the country to text the 71,000 voters in the “WI Supreme Court” campaign. 

Wisconsin is Central Standard Time; so, I suggest beginning no earlier than 9 a.m. I also suggest texting no later than 9 p.m. Can we text 71,000 Western Wisconsin voters within 12 hours? GAME ON! If you have an iPhone, turn off iMessage prior to beginning. Also — unless you have a burner phone — I suggest only sending >200 texts per dayIf you reach your 200 text messages, recruit 5 friends to send a cumulative 1,000 texts. Should we complete our ambitious goal of 71,000 text messages, we will immediately launch a second campaign to hit more Western Wisconsin counties. NOW, FOR THE GOOD NEWS: In order to win Wisconsin, we need SKY HIGH turnout in the WOW counties: Waukesha, Ozaukee, & Washington. So far, we are blowing our 2023 numbers out of the water. However, democrats are still getting out the vote in Dane & Milwaukee. If we are going to be successful on April 1st, we must continue knocking on doors & reaching voters in these WOW counties (as well as Kenosha & Racine). Please do everything in your power to elect Brad Schimel to the Wisconsin Supreme Court on April 1st. Can we reach 71,000 voters in 12 hours? We’ll find out tomorrow.

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Yes, it's a random Tuesday in April, in an off year, far removed from typical voting season.  Yes, a lot of people have politics fatigue, especially folks who were just bombarded with ads and attention all of last year.  Yes, there's a sense that things are okay on the Right because Trump won in November.  But none of that matters tomorrow.  The election is consequential.  The Left will show up in force.  That effort must be matched and overcome, or else conservatives will suffer a signifiant setback in a very important state.  Vote.

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