It’s easy these days to get lost in the media coverage of the economy, Trump indictments, primary races, tranny-madness, UFOs, wars, and other assorted goings-on and forget just how close we are to losing this country permanently. And by permanently, I mean P-E-R-M-A-N-E-N-T-L-Y, as in forever, irreversible, everlasting, the kind of change that would, God forbid, take a successful armed revolt, defeat to a foreign enemy in war, or a zombie apocalypse to render void.
Less than three years ago, with the House, the Senate, and the presidency all in their hands, Democrats were pushing for changes that would cement their hold on power. Chief among the many hellish things they had in store, Democrats wanted to pack the Supreme Court, make Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia states, and federalize elections to ensure that no conservative of any stripe could ever win a national election again. And they came perilously close. Remember Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema being the objects of leftist ire during that time? That’s because they, thankfully, had the courage to prevent the Senate filibuster from being abolished, which would have paved the way for all the other changes Democrats wanted. Were it not for them, this would be an entirely different country.
It’s scary to think about just how close to the razor’s edge we really are. In other words, we don’t have time to play. But playing is exactly what a large percentage of Republicans are doing by supporting Donald Trump’s ridiculous third run for the presidency. For those of us on the outside looking in (but only recently for me - I supported Trump through 2020), it’s like watching some sort of slow moving, yet preventable, train wreck. We know exactly how this ends, but a large percentage of the people we’re trying to warn still refuse to get off. So, in the context of the political landscape over the next two years, what does this ball of fire and wreckage look like exactly? Here are a few very likely possibilities behind Door Number One:
Trump gets fewer votes than he did in 2020.
I hear all the time from Trump supporters who insist that their guy got 74 million votes in 2020, a “record” for Republican candidates, even as they ignore inconvenient facts like Biden getting 81 million (even subtracting the fraud, that’s a LOT of leftists crawling over hot coals to vote against Trump) and that vote totals from EVERY election increases as the population increases over four years. But even accounting for that last fact, I’m still willing to go out on a limb and say that Trump could very well break a whole different GOP record by getting FEWER votes than he did in 2020. Mark it down.
Trump gets fewer electoral votes than he did in 2020.
Along with fewer popular votes comes fewer electoral votes. Trump will, of course, drop all the states he lost in 2020. That’s obvious. He’s polling behind in every one of them and has done nothing to move the needle in a positive direction. He will also likely lose a state or two he isn’t supposed to, like Ohio or North Carolina. It’ll be a disaster Republicans haven’t experienced in decades.
Republicans will lose the House.
With Trump on the ticket weighing everyone down, especially moderates who barely won to eke out a party control flip in 2020, Republicans will almost certainly give the House of Representatives back to Democrats. And when Hakeem Jeffries gets that gavel, we’ll be longing for the good old days of Nancy Pelosi.
Republicans will be on track to lose the Senate.
My esteemed Townhall colleague Kurt Schlichter recently predicted that Republicans, even with Trump at the helm, could gain two seats in what should be the best GOP Senate cycle in decades. That would give them a tenuous 51-49 majority that would delay the worst Democratic legislation for a while. However, when the tide turns back to Democrats in 2026, the nightmare will really begin. And this time, there will be no Joe Manchin to hold them back.
Democrats will continue their prosecutions, ensuring Trump is in prison by the end of 2025.
Right now, the left has every reason to want Trump indicted yet out of prison so they can dupe Republicans into voting for him in the primary (it’s a trap!). But after Democrats sweep the floor in 2024, they’re almost guaranteed to put Trump - and plenty of his surrogates - behind bars for a long, long time. He’ll no longer be of any use to them.
The administrative state will continue unabated.
Because of course it will. If you think things are bad now, think how much worse another four years will be.
Democrats may get to pick replacements for Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, giving the left a 5-4 SCOTUS majority.
Thomas is 75, and Alito is 73. Will both be able to hold on another five and a half years until a Republican has another chance at the presidency? Given that both are males and we don’t tend to live as long, my money is on ‘doubtful.’ At this point, with a 5-4 leftist majority, expect every freedom you hold dear, from guns to speech, to be summarily stripped away. Right now, the courts are the only thing holding the Biden administration back from enacting the worst of what they have in store, and they don’t even have the House. When there’s a Democratic trifecta AND a leftist SCOTUS majority, it’s game over.
I get that the memes and the Trump rallies are fun and the guy is entertaining as hell. I also understand the desire to vote for the politician who gave us 2016’s miracle win. I truly do. Yes, the former president has been his own worst enemy at times, but he also has been the target of an unprecedented level of lawfare from Democrats. The desire to see him not just vindicated but in a position to wreak sweet, sweet revenge on his - and our - persecutors is palpable. Hell, if I could wave a magic wand and make him president, I certainly would.
But I can’t, and you can’t, and for a variety of solid reasons, Trump can’t win the general election. So, it’s imperative that Republicans nominate someone who can. Our country, and our way of life, depend on it. There is a Door Number Two, if we’re wise enough to open it.
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