| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
| Forecast | Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus |
| Week of October 27 |
| October 27 |
| Pending Home Sale Index - September | 105.1 | 104.7 | 105.6 |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 8 | 10.8 | 7.5 |
|
| October 28 |
| Durable Goods Sales - September | 0.1% | -18.2 | 0.9 |
|
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - August |
| Twenty City M/M | 0.4% | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.8 |
|
| Consumer Confidence | 86.5 | 86.0 | 86.8 |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 10.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 |
|
| October 29 |
| FMOC |
|
| October 30 |
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 283 | 283 | 280 |
|
| GDP - Q3 (a) | 2.8% | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| GDP Implicit Price Deflator | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
|
| October 31 |
| Personal Income - September | 0.4% | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Personal Spending | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
|
| Employment Cost Index - Q3 | 0.4% | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Employment Cost Index - Y/Y | 2.0 | 2.0 |
|
| Chicago PMI | 60.0 | 60.5 | 60.5 |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - October (r) | 86.4 | 86.4 | 86.4 |
|
|
| Week of November 3 |
| November 3 |
| Auto Sales* - October | 16.75M | 16.44 | 16.60 |
| Car Sales | 7.95 | 7.75 |
| Truck Sales | 8.80 | 8.69 |
| *SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence |
|
| ISM (Mfg) - October | 56.6 | 56.6 | 56.8 |
| ISM Prices | 58 | 59.5 | 57 |
|
|
Construction Spending - September
| .5% | -0.8 | 0.5 |
| November 4 |
| Internation Trade - September | -$41.6 | -40.1 | -40.0 |
|
| Factory Orders - September | 0.2% | -10.1 | 0.5 |
|
| November 5 |
| ADP Employment Report - October | 205K | 213 | 220 |
|
| ISM Services - October | 57.6 | 58.6 | 58.1 |
|
| November 6 |
| Initial Unemployment Claims |
|
| Productivity - Q3 (p) | 0.5% | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Unit Labor Costs | 1.5 | -0.1 |
|
| November 7 |
| Nonfarm Payrolls - October | 215K | 248 | 233 |
| Private | 205 | 236 | 225 |
| Manufacturing | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Unemployment | 5.9% | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Average Workweek | 34.6HR | 34.6 | 34.6 |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.2% | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| *Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services |
|
| Consumer Credit - September | $20.0B | 13.5 | 15.7 |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment (p) |
|
